Live·Open questions in longevity research

Direction

Drugs against ageing

Small molecules, biologics and regimens that slow the accumulation of age-related change

Side by side

The rated projects, compared

ProjectPromised effectEvidenceStageStrongest case against
Team GlyNAC+2 years of life57 / 100Status is early clinical and preclinical, not validated.The main failure case is that the project is over-extrapolating from small studies, institutional news coverage, and mouse data: biomarker improvements may not translate into durable clinical benefit, lifespan effects may be species-specific, sex-dependent responses may complicate generalization, and Baylor’s patent/licensing position creates conflict-of-interest pressure around interpretation.
Aptah Bio+2 years of life55 / 100Preclinical.The failure case is that Aptah’s claimed breadth is mostly narrative, while the real effects are narrow, model-specific, or too small to translate.
Team Twilight+1.2 years of life45 / 100The project appears to be a venture-stage therapeutic company in a preclinical or at least not yet clinically validated state based on the evidence here.The main failure case is that the project is still resting on promotional claims plus field-context biology that does not yet prove intervention efficacy.
Beijing Joekai Biotechnology+0.7 years of life45 / 100Historically, Joekai held Alzheimer’s-treatment patent filings and grants tied to synthetic compounds, though several records show ceased or fee-related expiry risks.The evidence base is still dominated by patents, directory entries, and conference/trial metadata without published outcomes, so the project could easily be a case where a plausible mechanism and real clinical activity never translate into meaningful efficacy, differentiation, or durable IP advantage.
RIGHT Trial+1.2 years of life45 / 100Clinical-stage and actively structured as a mid-stage efficacy/safety test, with University of Pittsburgh as lead sponsor, Anne B.Frailty is biologically heterogeneous and may not respond meaningfully to single-cytokine suppression; even if IL-6 is associated with frailty, blocking it may produce limited functional benefit, unacceptable tradeoffs, or effects too small to justify chronic biologic treatment in older adults.
NYC-Vita+1.5 years of life34 / 100Status is early and unproven.NYC-Vita could fail because the intervention is a heterogeneous bundle with weak attribution, small sample size, and substantial forward-looking promotional framing; the most likely disappointing outcome is that exercise explains most of the effect, while rapamycin/lamivudine add safety risk, noise, or negligible incremental benefit without clear mechanistic readouts.

Companies

Companies in this direction

Ambition is what a company claims. Independent replication is what others have confirmed. Read the two columns together: the gap between them is where a promise runs ahead of a result.

CompanyAmbitionIndependent replicationStageHeadquarters
5 Alarm Bio
5 Alarm Bio develops small-molecule therapeutics targeting an unexplored aging mechanism to delay or prevent age-related diseases.
71seedCambridge, United Kingdom
712 North Inc
712 North develops personalized mitochondrial medicines for age-related diseases.
73San Francisco, California, United States
ADvantage Therapeutics
ADvantage Therapeutics develops novel therapeutics for neurodegenerative conditions, with a major focus on Alzheimer’s disease.
83Vienna, Austria
Aeovian Pharmaceuticals
Clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing selective small molecules for rare genetic and age-related diseases.
612930 Domingo Avenue #145, Berkeley, CA 94705
AKL Therapeutics
AKL Therapeutics develops APPA, an investigational oral therapy for osteoarthritis and other inflammatory diseases of ageing.
64Stevenage, United Kingdom
Amplifier Therapeutics
Amplifier Therapeutics develops AMPK activators to address metabolic disease and aging-related chronic diseases.
62United States
Antoxis
Antoxis conducted research and experimental development in biotechnology.
42pre seedAberdeen, Scotland, United Kingdom
Atropos Therapeutics
Atropos develops senescence-targeting drugs for aging-related diseases, cancer, and healthspan.
73San Francisco, California, United States
Biophytis
Biophytis develops transformative therapies impacting longevity, with BIO101 programs in sarcopenia and obesity.
73publicParis, France
Bolden Therapeutics
Bolden Therapeutics develops first-in-class therapeutics to increase neurogenesis and improve outcomes in neurological disease.
71pre seedBoston, Massachusetts, United States
Cambrian Bio
Clinical-stage drug development company developing therapeutics targeting metabolic pathways that decline with age.
82series c plusNew York, New York
Cognition Therapeutics
Cognition Therapeutics develops therapies for age-related neurodegenerative diseases including dementia with Lewy bodies and Alzheimer’s disease.
73publicNew York City, New York, United States; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States
Coya Therapeutics
Clinical-stage biotechnology company developing multi-modality Treg therapies for neurodegenerative, autoimmune, and metabolic diseases.
84publicHouston, Texas, United States
Epirium Bio
Epirium Bio develops oral small-molecule therapies targeting PGE-2 signaling for neuromuscular, inflammatory, and fibrotic diseases.
74series aUnited States
Etheros Pharmaceuticals
Etheros develops small molecule enzyme mimetics for neuroprotection and healthspan.
71United States
Fission Pharma
Fission Pharma is developing DRP1-FIS1 protein-protein interaction inhibitors for chronic inflammation, mitochondrial dysfunction, and age-related degenerative diseases.
71pre seedUnited States
Galilei Biosciences
Galilei Biosciences develops small-molecule SIRT6 activators for neuroprotection in glaucoma and other age-related diseases.
75Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States
Hayflick Partners
Hayflick Therapeutics develops localized, micro-dose rapamycin therapies targeting mTOR for cellular aging interventions in skin.
63Narberth, Pennsylvania, United States
HCW Biologics
Clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing fusion immunotherapies for autoimmune diseases, cancer and senescence-associated dysplasia.
83publicMiami, Florida, United States
Immunis
Clinical-stage biotech developing stem cell-derived secretome biologics targeting age-related muscle and metabolic disease.
83Irvine, California
Istesso
Istesso develops first-in-class oral regenerative medicines focused on restoring the body’s natural capacity to repair tissue.
82London, United Kingdom
Jocasta Neuroscience
Jocasta develops Klotho-based therapeutics for cognitive vitality and age-related cognitive impairment.
84series a
Jupiter Neurosciences
A clinical-stage drug platform company focused on treating neuroinflammation.
62Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, United States
Juvenescence
Juvenescence develops innovative medicines targeting core aging mechanisms to extend healthy lifespan and prevent age-related diseases.
72
LinkGevity
LinkGevity develops AI-driven longevity therapeutics, including first-in-class Anti-Necrotic necrosis inhibitors for kidney disease and other applications.
82Babraham Research Campus, Cambridge, UK
Loyal
Loyal develops longevity drugs for dogs that target age-associated disease and disability.
73series c plusSAN FRANCISCO
MetroBiotech
MetroBiotech develops proprietary NAD+ precursors to enhance human healthspan and treat age-related diseases.
63
Mirscience Therapeutics
Mirscience Therapeutics develops personalized microRNA therapies for longevity-associated diseases and challenging therapeutic targets.
71Brazil
Mitochem Therapeutics
MitoChem Therapeutics develops small molecules targeting mitochondrial dysfunction-driven loss of cellular metabolism in neurodegenerative disease.
72Charleston, South Carolina, United States
Mitoconix Bio
Mitoconix Bio develops disease-modifying therapeutics for neurodegenerative diseases by improving mitochondrial health.
81Israel
Mitotech
Mitotech develops orally bioavailable small molecules to protect mitochondria from oxidative stress and enhance energy expenditure.
64Russia, Luxembourg
Mogling Bio
Mogling Bio develops pharmacological therapies targeting Cdc42 overactivation to rejuvenate aged and exhausted cells, especially stem cells.
83seed2900 Reading Road Suite #410 Cincinnati OH 45206
Muna Therapeutics
Muna Therapeutics develops therapies to slow or stop neurodegenerative diseases including Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s.
83Copenhagen, Denmark
Napa Therapeutics
Napa Therapeutics develops small molecule drugs against a novel aging-related target linked to NAD metabolism.
71San Francisco, California, United States
NeuroBio
Neuro-Bio develops diagnostic and therapeutic strategies for Alzheimer's disease based on the toxic T14 peptide mechanism.
82seedOxford, United Kingdom
NRG Therapeutics
NRG Therapeutics develops disease-modifying medicines for neurodegenerative disorders by targeting mitochondrial function.
82Stevenage, Hertfordshire United Kingdom
NuSirt
NuSirt Sciences combines established pharmaceuticals and natural products to activate the sirtuin pathway for cardiometabolic diseases of aging and overnutrition.
53Knoxville, Tennessee, United States
Olatec
Olatec develops safe oral NLRP3 antagonist therapeutics for acute and chronic inflammatory diseases.
75New York City, New York, United States; Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Pelage Pharmaceuticals
Pelage develops regenerative medicines for hair loss grounded in stem cell biology.
63series bLos Angeles, California, United States
PharmatrophiX
PharmatrophiX develops small-molecule disease-modifying therapies for neurodegenerative diseases.
84San Francisco, California, United States
Praetego72Durham, North Carolina, United States
Pretzel Therapeutics
Pretzel develops first-in-class medicines targeting mitochondrial biology and cellular energetics for rare, neurodegenerative, metabolic, and other diseases.
84series aSweden; Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Refoxy Pharma
Refoxy develops next-generation medicines targeting FOXO3 to treat age-related diseases and extend healthy lifespan.
72Germany
resTORbio
Clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing medicines targeting the biology of aging to prevent or treat aging-related diseases.
72Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Retrotope
Retrotope develops proprietary therapeutics designed to treat degenerative disease by down-regulating lipid peroxidation.
74series c plusSan Francisco, California, United States
Scripta Therapeutics
Scripta Therapeutics modulates transcription factor activity using AI/ML-driven drug discovery to develop disease-modifying therapeutics.
80Oxford, United Kingdom
Senisca
Senisca develops RNA senotherapeutics to reverse cellular senescence and treat age-related disease.
81seedExeter, United Kingdom
Sentcell
Sentcell develops first-in-class human rejuvenating therapies targeting the sMAC pathway in ageing T cells.
92series aLondon, United Kingdom
Ship of Theseus
A therapeutics company developing degradation-resistant Hox family biologics.
74Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
TNF Pharmaceuticals (was MyMD)
Clinical-stage biopharma developing MYMD-1 and Supera-CBD for autoimmune, inflammatory, aging-related, pain, anxiety and seizure indications.
62publicBaltimore, Maryland, United States
TOR Therapeutics
TOR Therapeutics develops an oral fixed-dose combination of mTORC1 inhibitors for Alzheimer's disease and other mTORC1-driven disorders.
70Jenkintown, Pennsylvania, United States
Tornado Therapeutics
Tornado Therapeutics is developing safer, more effective rapalogs to treat disease and extend healthy lifespan.
80United States
Trivium Vet
TriviumVet develops animal health therapeutics for serious diseases in cats and dogs.
64acquiredIreland
Vasa Therapeutics
Vasa develops therapeutics targeting cardiovascular aging, neuromuscular disease, and age-related disorders.
72seedEncinitas, California, United States
X-tosis
X-tosis develops mitochondrial therapeutics to prevent neuronal loss in neurodegenerative diseases.
82Gainesville, Florida, United States
YOXLO
YOXLO builds science-based tools, products and research programs to help people understand and preserve functional reserve as they age.
72pre seedYOXLO B.V. Biopartner 5 Building De Limes 7 2343 DH Oegstgeest
Zoe Biosciences
Zoe Biosciences is developing best-in-class therapies to treat cardiometabolic disease.
60United States

Projects

Projects in this direction

ProjectScienceBreakthroughInvestment case
A NEW DIMENSION
A NEW DIMENSION appears to be Aayam Therapeutics’ mitochondria-focused longevity effort: a drug-discovery and development project built around an undisclosed "LADR 4" platform and framed as delivering affordable, accessible therapeutics. The strongest external signal is selection on 2025-05-12 as an XPRIZE Healthspan Top 40 Milestone 1 awardee, but the public technical record in this evidence set is thin and mostly promotional; there is no disclosed mechanism, named candidate, preclinical dataset, or clinical outcome here.
273134
Alpha Rejuvenation
Alpha Rejuvenation appears to be a California-focused men’s health and wellness clinic marketing peptide therapies, testosterone replacement, erectile-dysfunction treatment, pelvic-floor therapy, NAD+, and semaglutide-based weight loss rather than a clearly documented R&D program. The strongest evidence is self-authored promotional clinic content describing services, testimonials, and operational constraints; there is little independent evidence here for efficacy, safety, or a distinctive longevity intervention, and the project’s canonical URL is undermined by a likely source-matching error involving an unrelated Japanese environmental site.
151638
Aptah Bio
Aptah Bio is a U.S.-based startup developing RNA therapeutics, centered on a U1 snRNP-modulating platform it calls RNA WiCo/RNA rejuvenation, for neurodegeneration, cancer, and other age-related diseases. The strongest project-specific evidence is still preclinical: a 2024 Scientific Reports paper reports biomarker and electrophysiology improvements for APT20TTMG in Alzheimer’s iPSC-derived neurons and SAMP8 mice, while commercial databases and company posts show a broader preclinical pipeline and claimed non-dilutive funding. The core promise is unusually broad RNA-level correction across multiple proteins and pathways, but most high-claim statements come from company-controlled or promotional sources, and there is no clinical evidence yet.
575745
Beijing Joekai Biotechnology
Beijing Joekai Biotechnology appears to be a Beijing-based small-molecule neurodegeneration company centered on Alzheimer’s disease. The strongest direct evidence is company-assigned patenting around synthetic compounds for Alzheimer’s treatment, recent conference coverage of a Rac1 inhibitor candidate called 50561 with preclinical Alzheimer’s results, and trial listings showing a completed randomized Phase IIa study of 50561 in 68 patients with mild to moderate Alzheimer’s disease in China. The main caution is that most evidence is patent, directory, or conference metadata rather than peer-reviewed efficacy data, and no human results are provided in the supplied evidence.
494446
Beiwe
Beiwe appears to be an early therapeutic project centered on selective mTORC1 inhibition for longevity and cancer, with the core claim that it can preserve rapamycin-like benefits while avoiding mTORC2-related toxicity; however, the evidence here is mostly undated self-published website copy with no linked primary datasets, study details, patent record tied to the company, or disclosed clinical results.
344128
BioArmor
BioArmor appears to be an early-stage, student-led longevity concept from the QuestX Incubator in Kuala Lumpur that reached XPRIZE Healthspan semifinalist status, but the public evidence does not disclose a validated therapeutic program. The clearest project-specific description is a June 25, 2025 Facebook post describing a speculative "BioArmor X" stack spanning a supplement/drink, future injection/serum, and topical gel/patch for regeneration, immunity, and age reversal, while also admitting that full age reversal, nanobots, and more extreme claims remain future-facing rather than demonstrated.
162326
Cura Therapeutics and collaborators/
Cura Therapeutics appears to be a small, women-led biotech developing multifunctional fusion-protein therapeutics for metastatic cancer and age-related diseases, with recurring claims around multimodal immune activation plus anti-fibrotic and anti-senescence effects. The strongest evidence is not clinical; it is a mix of company materials, startup-program listings, platform databases with sparse detail, founder-linked patents, and older academic fusokine literature tied to Claudia Penafuerte Diaz and Jacques Galipeau. That supports a real translational program and relevant team lineage, but not validated efficacy, safety, or durable clinical progress.
424644
Klotho Longevity
Klotho Longevity is a U.S. commercialization effort centered on Klotho-linked anti-aging products and procedures, led by Dr. Gail Humble and closely tied to the Klotho Skin brand. The evidence shows active branding, clinic offerings, and patent activity around Klotho production and skin-care use, but project-specific validation is thin: the strongest direct human evidence is a small 2025 pilot study of a topical Klotho serum for photoaging in 16 women, not a systemic longevity intervention.
394352
Lono Jaeyak
Lono Jaeyak appears to be an anti-senescence composition program known only from a pending European patent application claiming formulations for rejuvenating senescent cells or delaying/preventing cellular aging. The available evidence supports IP activity and broad product positioning across possible nutraceutical, feed, and medicinal uses, but it does not show validated mechanism, preclinical efficacy, safety, or human data.
213127
Nishimura Lab
Nishimura Lab appears, on the evidence provided, to be an EADERM-linked regenerative dermatology effort built around hair follicle and epidermal stem-cell biology, especially aging- and injury-related mechanisms involving COL17A1 and stem-cell motility. The strongest project-specific signals are company pages describing stem-cell-based drug discovery and alopecia therapeutic development, plus Emi K. Nishimura-linked academic work on hair thinning, hair follicle aging, and skin regeneration. However, much of the translational evidence is still indirect: company pages are promotional, patents are claims rather than validation, and the provided paper excerpts are mostly title/metadata level rather than full results.
474842
NYC-Vita
NYC-Vita is a Mount Sinai-led, New York City pilot longevity trial that appears to combine home-based exercise, daily spermidine, and low-dose rapamycin or lamivudine in adults roughly 65-80, with the stated goal of improving immune function, muscle strength, cognition, and overall healthspan. The project has clear institutional backing and XPRIZE Healthspan semifinalist status, but the evidence here is mostly press, partner-content, and social posts plus secondary media coverage; there are no published trial results, and even basic questions about efficacy, mechanism, attribution, and safety remain unresolved.
464350
RIGHT Trial
RIGHT Trial appears to be a University of Pittsburgh-led Phase 2, 24-week, placebo-controlled trial testing subcutaneous clazakizumab, an IL-6 blocker, in older adults with frailty and mobility limitation. The central bet is that lowering inflammatory signaling can improve practical function such as walking speed, but the provided evidence is mostly participant-facing trial description and design context rather than published efficacy results, so credibility rests more on a plausible mechanism and formal trial structure than on demonstrated benefit so far.
564339
Team GlyNAC
Team GlyNAC appears to be a Baylor College of Medicine-associated translational longevity project built around GlyNAC, a glycine plus N-acetylcysteine supplementation strategy intended to raise glutathione and improve mitochondrial and oxidative-stress-related aging defects. The evidence base is suggestive but still limited: there are pilot and randomized older-adult studies reporting improvements in biomarkers and some functional measures, plus mouse studies reporting lifespan, cognition, and cardiac effects, but much of the accessible material is Baylor news coverage, small early-stage studies, or preclinical work, with human durability, safety, and hard clinical outcomes still unresolved.
575252
Team Twilight
Team Twilight is a U.S. biotech startup developing active immunotherapies against pathological proteins, especially HERV-K-linked targets in ALS, with broader stated ambitions in Alzheimer’s, Parkinson’s, and chronic pain. The strongest direct evidence is the company’s own claims about its Ambifect Fc-fusion platform, leadership, and intended indications; the stronger independent evidence sits one layer back, supporting HERV-K as an ALS-related biomarker and mechanistic target class rather than validating Team Twilight’s product. The core uncertainty is that no clinical efficacy data for Team Twilight’s program are provided here.
495342
The Brigham Boston XPrize
The Brigham-Boston XPRIZE Healthspan Team is a Mass General Brigham and Harvard-linked effort that became a Top 40 semifinalist in the seven-year, $101M XPRIZE Healthspan competition and received $250,000 in Milestone 1 funding in 2025. Led by Shalender Bhasin and JoAnn Manson, the team is running a preliminary program around an unnamed “promising new therapeutic” intended to extend healthspan and delay major age-related conditions. The evidence shows strong institutional leadership and real competition progress, but it is still an institutional announcement about pilot-stage work, not peer-reviewed efficacy evidence or a demonstrated clinical success.
394640
TIME TRAVELER AND NUREKI
TIME TRAVELER AND NUREKI presents as a University of Tokyo-linked startup pursuing healthy-aging products and therapeutics, especially plant-cell-derived exosomes and molecules said to inhibit aging-linked genes, with stated interests in cancer, frailty/sarcopenia, cachexia, supplements, and cosmetics. The strongest concrete evidence here is corporate self-description plus commercialization signals around a parsley-derived supplement (`exofull FUJI`) and broad patent-field context on plant-derived exosomes and muscle-loss indications. There is no peer-reviewed efficacy, clinical, or regulatory evidence in the provided record, so the project currently looks more like an early translational startup with ambitious claims than a validated longevity program.
284539
YOXLO
YOXLO is a Dutch longevity startup building a proprietary healthspan intervention, Youniqor, around a centenarian-inspired thesis that mitochondrial function, cellular resilience, and inflammatory control, especially NLRP3-linked immune signaling, can be modulated to preserve strength, cognition, independence, and immune function with age. The evidence supports a real company, named team, patents, a 2024 review by founder Stef Verlinden, and 2025 XPRIZE Healthspan semifinalist status, but not convincing efficacy: the intervention evidence here is mostly company claims, review-level argument, and patent positioning rather than disclosed clinical outcomes.
313346

People

People in this direction

  1. Alex Zhavoronkovpopulariser · through Napa Therapeutics
  2. João Pedro de Magalhãesscientist · through 5 Alarm Bio

    Senescence.info founder and aging-database builder.

  3. Matt Kaeberleinscientist · through Hayflick Partners
  4. Laura Deminginvestor · through Loyal

    Founded The Longevity Fund as an early dedicated VC vehicle for aging and life-extension companies, helping make longevity biotech a fundable startup category.

  5. Eric Verdinscientist · through BHB Therapeutics
  6. Celine Haliouaentrepreneur · through Loyal

    Biotech founder pursuing the first approved lifespan-extension drugs for dogs

  7. Nir Barzilaiscientist · through SirtLab Corp
  8. Daisy Robintonentrepreneur · through Tornado Therapeutics

    Biotech founder developing therapeutics for ovarian aging and women’s health

  9. Jim Mellonentrepreneur · through Napa Therapeutics

    Co-founded Juvenescence and publicly framed longevity as an investable biotechnology thesis through the book Juvenescence and substantial company-building activity.

  10. James Peyerentrepreneur · through Amplifier Therapeutics

    Biotech builder translating aging biology into a portfolio of medicines

  11. David Sinclairscientist · through MetroBiotech
  12. Christian Angermayerentrepreneur · through Cambrian Bio
  13. Kelsey Moodyentrepreneur · through Ship of Theseus

    Drug-development entrepreneur building an integrated longevity biotech platform

  14. Peter Diamandisentrepreneur · through Immunis

Chronology

What happened, and when

  1. Jun 23, 2026Funding roundX-tosis

    grant · The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson’s Research

  2. May 28, 2026Funding roundBiophytis

    debt · Hexagon Capital Fund

  3. May 21, 2026Funding roundHCW Biologics

    post ipo · $4M

  4. Mar 11, 2026Funding roundBiophytis

    post ipo

  5. Feb 24, 2026Funding roundCambrian Bio

    grant · $30.8M · ARPA-H PROSPR program

  6. Feb 11, 2026Funding roundLoyal

    series c · $100M · Age1

  7. Jan 8, 2026Funding roundMuna Therapeutics

    grant · $1M · Alzheimer’s Association

  8. Dec 16, 2025Funding roundAeovian Pharmaceuticals

    series b · $55M · Luma Group, CTI Life Sciences Fund

  9. Nov 14, 2025Funding roundScripta Therapeutics

    other · $12M

  10. Oct 15, 2025Funding roundPelage Pharmaceuticals

    series b · $120M · ARCH Venture Partners, GV

  11. Sep 26, 2025Funding roundADvantage Therapeutics

    grant · $2.5M · NIH SBIR

  12. Aug 21, 2025Funding roundShip of Theseus

    grant

  13. Aug 12, 2025Funding roundJocasta Neuroscience

    series a · $35M

  14. Jun 10, 2025Funding roundEtheros Pharmaceuticals

    other · $600K

  15. May 21, 2025Funding roundJuvenescence

    series b · $76M · M42

  16. May 19, 2025Funding roundTrivium Vet

    acquisition · PBI-Gordon Companies

  17. Nov 25, 2024Funding roundADvantage Therapeutics

    other · Longevitytech.fund

  18. Aug 18, 2024Funding roundPelage Pharmaceuticals

    other · $14M · GV

  19. Mar 28, 2024Funding roundAeovian Pharmaceuticals

    other · $50M · Hevolution

  20. Mar 21, 2024Funding roundLoyal

    series b · $45M · Bain Capital Ventures

  21. Mar 21, 2024Funding roundLoyal

    debt · $12.5M · Bridge Bank

  22. Mar 13, 2024Funding roundFission Pharma

    other · $333.3K · VitaDAO, Cerebrum DAO

  23. Feb 27, 2024Funding roundPelage Pharmaceuticals

    series a · $16.8M · GV

  24. Jan 17, 2024Funding roundBolden Therapeutics

    pre seed · $1.5M · Resolute Venture Partners

Forecasts

What the forecasts expect here

  1. When will the first NEDD8-pathway drug with a longevity indication reach Phase 2b trials?17% yesby Nov 1, 2026
  2. When will a Phase 2/3 trial show an aging-biology target improving a hard functional endpoint beyond molecular markers?17% yesby Nov 1, 2026
  3. When will therapeutic plasmapheresis confirm a reduction in biological age or mortality in a randomized trial?17% yesby Nov 1, 2026
  4. In what year will Loyal get FDA conditional approval for a daily dog-longevity pill?17% yesby Nov 1, 2026
  5. Will canagliflozin (SGLT2 inhibitor) plus low-dose rapamycin show synergy in old marmosets — HSC rejuvenation without high-dose immunosuppression?17% yesby Nov 1, 2026
  6. Will TRIAD (rapamycin in aging dogs, 580 animals, 3-year design) show a survival or disease-onset benefit by 30 Jun 2028?20% yesby Nov 1, 2026
  7. Will a large rapamycin/rapalog trial in older adults show a convincing signal on immune resilience, frailty, or functional endpoints before 2028?20% yesby Nov 1, 2026
  8. Will Retro Biosciences publish first human safety/PK/biomarker data on RTR242 and move to Phase 2 by 30 Jun 2028?20% yesby Nov 1, 2026

This month

Reported recently

  1. Different muscles in the body heal at different rates after injury: the gene SIX2 activates a fast repair mode in a subset of muscle stem cellsSep 21, 2026A subset of muscle stem cells retains the embryonic gene PAX3, enabling faster repair via SIX2 — a concrete molecular target for sarcopenia and muscular dystrophy.
  2. c43-4-peptide-apc-cdh1-lifespan-extensionSep 21, 2026The peptide C43-4 is the first activator of APC/C-Cdh1, the complex that keeps cells in healthy quiescence, and extended lifespan in yeast and C. elegans via conserved AMPK/FOXO pathways.
  3. Blocking two microRNAs enabled aged mouse lungs to resolve fibrotic tissue: progenitor cells completed maturation after fibrosis had already formedSep 21, 2026Blocking miR-155-5p or miR-210-3p with antisense oligonucleotides resolved established fibrosis in aged mice by freeing progenitor cells to mature into functional alveolar cells.
  4. A review unifies hormones, immune cells, and skeletal stem cells into one model of bone repair, explaining why osteoporosis drugs lose effectiveness over timeSep 21, 2026A new review unifies hormones, immune cells, and skeletal stem cells into one model of bone repair, showing that aging disrupts this system at two levels with different reversibility.
  5. The generative model LDDM designed binding molecules for five proteins, and X-ray crystallography confirmed its 3D prediction for one targetSep 21, 2026EPFL's LDDM generative model designed synthesizable binding compounds for five target proteins; X-ray crystallography confirmed its predicted pose for the SARS-CoV-2 Mac1 enzyme.
  6. Zhavoronkov and Mathematician Bud Mishra Describe Drugs as Forces Pushing the Body in Different Directions, Showing That Treatment Order Changes the OutcomeSep 20, 2026Zhavoronkov and Mishra model aging as loss of controllability, showing that the order of drug interventions mathematically changes outcomes via noncommutativity.
  7. A cystic fibrosis drug reversed epigenetic clock aging over one year in eight patientsSep 20, 2026One year of elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor shifted epigenetic age acceleration from +1.92 to −1.70 years in eight cystic fibrosis patients, linked to falling inflammatory markers.
  8. A single platelet protein explains why exercise, the longevity protein Klotho, and young plasma transfusion rejuvenate memory, immunity, and bone marrow in aged mice, and why the same protein can trigger blood clotsSep 20, 2026A unified model shows platelet protein PF4 mediates the cognitive and immune benefits of exercise, Klotho, and young plasma in aged mice, while posing thrombotic risk.