Senescent fibroblasts may strengthen healed skin by briefly slowing dead-cell clearance
In reconstructed skin from donors aged 40–60 years with added macrophages and controlled neutrophil influx, senescent fibroblasts may improve later strength by briefly slowing dead-cell clearance. Improved later strength after early release of this inhibition, with confirmed target engagement, would refute the hypothesis.
Stage of verification
- Hypothesis published2026-09-26
- Indirect evidenceAssessed at 4 of 10
- Direct testAwaited
Map of the hypothesis
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Where in the body
Ageing mechanism
Kind of knowledge gap
A double ring marks the main placement where a group contains several values.
Target map
Every target of every published hypothesis, each with the actions a hypothesis can propose on it. The targets and the actions of this hypothesis are drawn solid.

Senescent cell
Senescent fibroblasts
Fibroblasts in a senescent state
Where this hypothesis actsDuring early skin healing while neutrophil influx continues
Hypotheses on this target 7
Function preservation2
Senolysis2
Senomorphic suppression1
Clearance restoration1
Reprogramming
Population balance

What is proposed
Function preservation
Preserve temporarily until neutrophil influx has sustainably stopped
With whatNot stated in the record
HowDelay removal until neutrophil influx has sustainably stopped, with macrophage capacity to engulf cellular debris preserved
Possible result
Possible improvement in later skin strength
From the recordВременное сохранение сенесцентных фибробластов повышает позднюю прочность кожи

Immune response
Efferocytosis
The engulfment and clearance of apoptotic cells by phagocytes
Where this hypothesis actsMacrophages during skin healing, before and after neutrophil influx stops
Hypotheses on this target 8
Inhibition5
Activation2
Function preservation
Clearance restoration1
Immunosuppression
Feedback restoration
Rhythm restoration

What is proposed
Inhibition
Temporarily inhibit engulfment of dead cells until neutrophil influx stops
With whatNot stated in the record
HowUse CD47-mediated contact inhibition; experimentally reproduce this inhibition briefly after immediate fibroblast removal
Possible result
Possible recovery of later skin mechanics after immediate senescent fibroblast removal
From the recordКратковременное воспроизведение контактного торможения эффероцитоза после немедленного удаления этих фибробластов восстановит позднюю механику.

Receptor or channel
CD47
A protein that provides a contact signal restraining macrophage activity
Where this hypothesis actsOn confirmed senescent fibroblasts during early skin healing
Hypotheses on this target 1
Lower level
Higher level
Blockade1
Agonism
Desensitisation
Function restoration
Function preservation

What is proposed
Blockade
Selectively block CD47 early to test its proposed protective role
With whatNot stated in the record
HowSelectively block CD47 on confirmed senescent fibroblasts while keeping the fibroblasts intact
Possible result
Expected faster dead-cell engulfment, lower later skin strength and greater residual deformation
From the recordРанняя избирательная блокада CD47 на подтверждённо сенесцентных фибробластах ускорит поглощение погибших клеток
All targets of the lab
Every target read from the published hypotheses, each kind around its pictogram. A larger mark means more hypotheses act on that target. Point at a mark and the actions proposed on it branch out of it.
Solid and named: the targets of this hypothesis
Explore in depth
The logic
The train of thought that ends in this hypothesis. Each stage is the reason the next exists. The master question narrows to a goal, the goal to an unknown nobody has closed, the unknown to the hypothesis proposed here. Every step below says what it rests on and what carries it.
Skin repair may depend on when damaged cells are cleared, as well as on how quickly a wound closes. The unexpected move is that temporarily slowing the removal of dead cells could help skin heal stronger, even though continuing that delay would become harmful. This is a proposal generated by the pipeline, not a measured result in healed skin.
- Retained senescent fibroblasts are proposed to use CD47-dependent contact to slow macrophage removal of dead cells.
- Slower removal is proposed to delay the macrophage program that promotes deposition of scar material while neutrophils continue arriving.
- That early delay is proposed to improve the strength of healed skin.
- Once neutrophils stop arriving, continued restraint is proposed to change from a useful delay into harmful obstruction of dead-cell clearance.
- Dead cells would then accumulate and cause additional injury.
- Ending the restraint after sustained cessation of neutrophil arrival, while macrophages remain able to clear debris, is proposed to preserve the early benefit.
A temporary stop on a cleanup crew could keep rebuilding from starting before an accident scene has settled. Leaving the stop in place afterward would let rubbish pile up.
Where the picture breaks: The picture assumes that cleanup controls when rebuilding begins. That connection is itself an unestablished part of this skin hypothesis, and immune cells perform more than one job.
- Master questionstep 01 of 04
A therapy should restore the skin of middle-aged people to the functional condition of younger people.
Rests on: The stated goal is restoration of skin function; the supplied material does not define which functions or what would count as reaching the younger condition.
Stated in the chain - Goal pillarstep 02 of 04
The therapy should deliver a ten-year restoration of skin function.
Rests on: The goal calls for younger skin function, but does not specify a ten-year target.
AssumptionThe ten-year target is introduced without a stated basis. The supplied wording does not establish whether it means a benefit lasting ten years or restoration to a condition associated with being ten years younger.
- Gap questionstep 03 of 04
Keeping temporarily senescent cells, cells in a state of sustained withdrawal from division with altered activity, through early wound repair might produce stronger healed skin than removing them immediately. A biological event might identify when retaining them should end.S4
Rests on: The chain narrows from restoring skin function to the timing of cell removal during wound healing. Aging Cell in 2023 describes potentially useful temporary senescent-cell presence and harmful chronic presence, but does not establish later skin strength or the event that should trigger removal.
LeapNeither the preceding stage nor the supplied sources establish how this wound-healing endpoint would deliver the ten-year restoration target. The source provides a reason to investigate timing, but not that missing connection.
- Hypothesisstep 04 of 04
Senescent fibroblasts, connective-tissue cells that produce and organize supporting material, are proposed to strengthen healed skin by briefly slowing dead-cell removal. CD47, a cell-surface protein that can send a signal restraining cell engulfment, would hold back macrophages, immune cells that swallow dead cells and debris, from adopting a scar-building program. The proposed benefit would turn into harm once neutrophils, immune cells recruited during early injury responses, stop arriving.S3
Rests on: The preceding question supplies the distinction between early benefit and later harm. The Journal of Cell Biology in 2023 reports that blocking CD47 on senescent human lung fibroblasts increased dead-cell removal by macrophages grown with them; this supports the proposed brake but does not establish its effect on skin strength, scar building, or the timing of the switch.
Supported by literature
What is carried, and what is not. Of the six mechanism links above, one has direct support in the supplied sources: the CD47-dependent brake on dead-cell removal, reported in human lung-cell cultures by The Journal of Cell Biology in 2023, without establishing a skin-healing benefit. Aging Cell in 2023 supplies broader background for temporary benefit versus chronic harm, without establishing the proposed switch; no supplied source establishes the sequence end to end.
Where the reasoning is carried by something unstated · 2
- Goal pillar. The ten-year target is introduced without a stated basis. The supplied wording does not establish whether it means a benefit lasting ten years or restoration to a condition associated with being ten years younger.
- Gap question. Neither the preceding stage nor the supplied sources establish how this wound-healing endpoint would deliver the ten-year restoration target. The source provides a reason to investigate timing, but not that missing connection. Establish the missing link before relying on this step.
How a result here could mislead · 3
- An apparent benefit from delaying removal could come from preserving useful repair cells mistakenly classified as senescent, as one rival proposes. A general CD47 blockade could also affect cells beyond the intended fibroblasts. What closes it: The tested fibroblasts must be confirmed as senescent using multiple features, and the selectivity of CD47 interference must be verified separately from general blockade. The early-blockade comparison must also establish that the fibroblasts themselves remain present.
- A difference between cells allowed to touch and cells kept apart could be credited to dead-cell clearance even if another contact-dependent process caused it. The rival explanation involving formation of a continuous load-bearing network could still account for improved strength. What closes it: Dead-cell removal and later strength must both be measured. The proposed restoration of the clearance brake after fibroblast removal must be shown to restore clearance timing as well as mechanics; separating this mechanism from the rival also requires testing whether the supporting material carries load when active cell pulling is briefly stopped.
- The proposed switching event could be mistaken for a convenient time point or for disappearance of neutrophils already present, rather than cessation of new arrivals. Poor clearance afterward could reflect macrophages losing their ability to engulf debris instead of continued restraint. What closes it: The criterion for sustained cessation of new neutrophil arrival must be fixed before testing and measured separately from the number already present. Macrophage capacity to remove debris must be checked independently; the supplied design gives no duration or threshold for declaring the switching event.
What would make this wrong. The proposal explicitly predicts that removing the early clearance brake will weaken healed skin. Improved later strength after selective early CD47 interference, with confirmed acceleration of dead-cell removal and retention of the targeted senescent fibroblasts, would contradict that prediction and break the proposed explanation.
What it would change. If supported, the proposal would make the timing of dead-cell clearance a candidate part of therapy development for restoring skin function: early and late interference could have opposite effects. It would also require distinguishing wound closure from later strength; Nature Aging in 2025 reports faster closure after removing mouse cells with high levels of p21, a protein involved in restraining cell division, but does not establish later strength or this proposed mechanism. A first test in reconstructed skin made from donors aged 40–60 would still leave restoration to younger human skin function and the ten-year target unestablished. The input also leaves its three named functional indicators undefined, so their proposed coordinated recovery cannot be interpreted.
Sources read · 7
Fibroblast senescence in the pathology of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. · American journal of physiology. Lung cellular and molecular physiology · 2018
“Normally, once a senescent cell has contributed to wound repair, it is promptly removed from the environment via infiltrating immune cells. However, if immune clearance fails, the persistence of senescent cells is thought to drive disease pathology through their altered secretory profile.”
Does not settle: Источник не устанавливает эффект временного сохранения сенесцентных фибробластов на позднюю прочность зажившей кожи. Он не рассматривает эффероцитоз, CD47, макрофагальные программы отложения рубцового матрикса, приток нейтрофилов, момент переключения механизма или показатели SPV_3, SPV_4 и SPV_5.
The CD47 signaling axis regulates the formation and vulnerability of atherosclerotic plaques: mechanism analysis and targeting strategies. · Frontiers in immunology · 2026
“Although extensive studies have established the CD47–SIRPα axis as a critical immune checkpoint that restrains macrophage phagocytosis within atherosclerotic plaques, therapeutic agents targeting CD47 have not yet entered clinical trials for atherosclerosis or cardiovascular disease.”
Does not settle: This source does not establish effects in healed skin, senescent fibroblasts, wound macrophages, neutrophil influx, scar-matrix deposition, late skin strength, or a switch point after neutrophil recruitment ceases.
“Blocking CD47 ( ) on human senescent cells (primary lung fibroblasts derived from healthy [ ] or IPF-lungs [ ]) using anti-CD47 FAB fragments augmented corpse removal by co-cultured MDMs relative to co-cultures without CD47 blockade.”
Does not settle: Источник показывает подавление удаления погибших клеток сенесцентными фибробластами через CD47 в совместных культурах. Он не устанавливает влияние на заживление или позднюю прочность кожи, нейтрофильную фазу, программу отложения рубцового матрикса, накопление погибших клеток после прекращения притока нейтрофилов, момент переключения механизма или SPV_3, SPV_4 и SPV_5.
Cellular senescence in skin-related research: Targeted signaling pathways and naturally occurring therapeutic agents. · Aging cell · 2023
“Therefore, transient appearance of senescent cells may be needed for proper healing of acute wounds, but their chronic presence delays healing (Wilkinson & Hardman, ).”
Does not settle: Источник описывает временное появление сенесцентных клеток при заживлении и вред их хронического присутствия, но не устанавливает позднюю прочность кожи, торможение эффероцитоза, роль CD47, динамику нейтрофилов, переключение макрофагов на отложение рубцового матрикса или связь со SPV_3, SPV_4 и SPV_5.
Impaired wound healing in diabetes. · Journal of wound care · 2022
“Hyperglycaemia and its associated inflammation contribute to immune dysfunction, vascular damage, neuropathy, cellular senescence, impaired transition beyond the inflammatory stage, microbiome disruptions, failed extracellular matrix formation, growth factor and cytokine imbalance, limited re-epithelialisation, and alterations in fibroblast migration and proliferation.”
Does not settle: The abstract does not establish transient retention of senescent fibroblasts, CD47 signaling, efferocytosis, neutrophil influx, macrophage matrix-deposition programs, a switch point, later skin strength, or any relationship to SPV_3, SPV_4, or SPV_5.
Facial skin ageing: Key concepts and overview of processes. · International journal of cosmetic science · 2022
“Skin functions such as barrier immune function, wound healing, thermoregulation and sensory function are also impaired.”
Does not settle: This review does not establish a role for senescent fibroblasts, CD47, macrophage efferocytosis, neutrophil cessation, scar-matrix deposition, late skin strength, or any proposed timing of a switch during wound repair.
Clearance of p21 highly expressing senescent cells accelerates cutaneous wound healing. · Nature aging · 2025
“We find that clearing p21 highly expressing cells expedites wound closure and is partially mediated by NF-κB inhibition”
Does not settle: The source does not establish late skin strength, CD47 signaling, efferocytosis, neutrophil-influx cessation, secondary injury, or the proposed switch point. It studies p21-high cells in a mouse cutaneous injury model, not specifically transient retention of senescent fibroblasts.
The gap this hypothesis explains
Two established results predict opposite outcomes, and both cannot be right.
Does keeping repair cells longer strengthen healed skin, and what marks a safe time to remove them?
Original wording · exactly as the pipeline generated it
Улучшает ли сохранение временно сенесцентных клеток до завершения раннего заживления последующую прочность кожи по сравнению с их немедленным удалением, и какое событие определяет безопасный момент переключения?
What this question is asking
The question concerns whether certain cells present during early wound repair should remain until their useful work is finished. These are senescent cells: cells in a state of sustained withdrawal from division, whose presence during repair is described here as temporary. It asks whether retaining them through early healing, then removing them, produces stronger healed skin than removing them immediately, and which observable event identifies a safe switch. The question assumes that their early contribution protects repair but that their continued presence can later impair function; the supplied sources do not establish that sequence for the same cells in the same skin wounds.
- Senescent cells and senescence
- Senescence is a cell state involving sustained withdrawal from division. Senescent cells are not one uniform population: the supplied sources associate their removal with both faster and slower healing. Temporary presence during repair does not itself mean that the cells later resume dividing.
- Myofibroblasts
- Cells involved in contracting and rebuilding repairing tissue. S7 describes their coordinating role in repair; being a myofibroblast does not by itself establish that a cell is senescent.
- Cell removal or clearance
- Eliminating a selected cell population from tissue. The question compares doing this immediately with doing it after an early period of repair.
- ABT263
- The compound used to remove senescent cells in the diabetic-mouse study described by S2. The supplied material does not specify a dose or establish a safe treatment schedule.
- p16 INK4a and p21
- Names of proteins used to identify cell populations in the supplied passages. Expression means that cells produce the protein; high expression means greater production. These markers do not establish that the populations described in S9 and S3 are interchangeable.
- Type 2 diabetes
- A disease involving impaired regulation of blood sugar. It defines the mouse disease setting in S2, limiting what that result alone establishes about other wounds.
- Skin strength and protective barrier
- Skin strength means resistance to mechanical damage, such as tearing. The protective barrier limits passage between the body and its surroundings. These are distinct outcomes, and neither is established simply by a report of faster healing.
- Early healing and safe switching event
- Early healing names the initial repair period, but the supplied material gives no precise endpoint for it. A safe switching event would be an observable change indicating that removal can occur without sacrificing the desired recovery; none is established here.
Temporarily senescent cells and myofibroblast activity support early repair but can cause later damage, so an event marking completion of their protective role can define a safe switch to removal.
Senescent cells are cells that have stopped dividing, while myofibroblasts are repair cells that help contract and rebuild damaged tissue; these are different descriptions and do not automatically identify the same cells. The assumption is that a useful early repair state becomes harmful if it persists, and that a recognizable event separates those phases. If established, that event could explain when removal preserves early repair while avoiding later loss of function.
S9 supports a beneficial repair contribution from cells bearing a senescence-associated marker because their removal delayed healing. S7 describes myofibroblasts as coordinating tissue repair, but its supplied passage does not establish a later damaging phase. S10 describes early benefit and later dysfunction associated with senescent cells generally, but its quotation is unverified and does not establish a timed transition within a skin wound. S2 reports benefit from removal in diabetic mice, without showing that timing explains the difference from S9. No supplied passage identifies an event that establishes a safe switch.S9S7S10S2
The same question asked without the part nothing read establishes:
- Does retaining senescent cells through early skin-wound healing, then removing them, improve later skin strength compared with immediate removal?
- Is any observable event during skin-wound repair associated with a change in how senescent-cell removal affects later skin strength?
- Delayed removal produces stronger skin Under the proposed mechanism, retention would preserve a useful early repair contribution before removal ends it. Immediate removal would then sacrifice later strength, although this outcome alone would not identify the event that makes removal safe.
- Immediate removal produces stronger skin Retaining the cells through early healing would then produce a worse strength outcome than removing them at once. For that setting, waiting for the presumed protective phase to finish would not deliver the proposed benefit.
- Timing makes no difference to later strength Differences in early healing could occur without changing the skin's eventual strength. A switch justified specifically by improved strength would then lack support, even if other aspects of recovery differed.
- The outcome depends on the wound setting If the cells' contribution differs between wound settings, the same removal schedule could preserve repair in one setting and impede it in another. A safe switching event would then need an established scope; the supplied findings do not establish such an event.
The proposed chain runs from the timing of cell removal, through early repair, to the strength and protective function of healed skin. Removal could interrupt a useful repair contribution: S9 reports delayed healing after removal of one marked cell population. Conversely, S2 reports faster healing after senescent-cell removal in mice with type 2 diabetes, so retaining cells cannot simply be assumed to help in every setting. Neither finding establishes how strong the skin becomes afterward, making it possible to mistake faster healing for better lasting recovery.
Узлы RL-1/RL-2 связывают сенесценцию и миофибробластную активность одновременно с ранней репарацией и поздним повреждением.
Завершение защитной реакции и восстановление барьера и прочности в заданные сроки после повреждения без позднего функционального ухудшения.
Не установлено событие, после которого устранение репаративного состояния улучшает итоговую функцию; раннее и позднее вмешательства могут давать противоположные результаты.
The mechanism it proposes
The engine's own statement of the hypothesis, in full.
Временное сохранение сенесцентных фибробластов повышает позднюю прочность кожи благодаря кратковременному торможению эффероцитоза, то есть поглощения погибших клеток макрофагами. Контактный сигнал CD47 удерживает макрофаги от преждевременного перехода к программе отложения рубцового матрикса, пока продолжается нейтрофильная фаза повреждения. После прекращения притока нейтрофилов это торможение становится вредным: погибшие клетки накапливаются и поддерживают вторичное повреждение. Предполагаемый момент переключения определяется устойчивым прекращением притока нейтрофилов при сохранённой способности макрофагов поглощать клеточные остатки. Такой механизм должен стабилизировать SPV_3 и согласовать его восстановление с SPV_4 и SPV_5.
Testing and possible results
The prediction that would tell it apart
A hypothesis that predicts what its rivals predict is not worth running an experiment over. This is the observation on which this one differs.
Ранняя избирательная блокада CD47 на подтверждённо сенесцентных фибробластах ускорит поглощение погибших клеток, но снизит позднюю прочность и увеличит остаточную деформацию, хотя сами фибробласты сохранятся. Кратковременное воспроизведение контактного торможения эффероцитоза после немедленного удаления этих фибробластов восстановит позднюю механику. Продление такого торможения после прекращения притока нейтрофилов ухудшит результат. Преимущество отсрочки исчезнет при устранении контакта между сенесцентными клетками и макрофагами, несмотря на сохранение обмена растворимыми факторами. Улучшение поздней прочности после раннего снятия торможения при подтверждённом воздействии на мишень опровергнет гипотезу.
Would tell it apart from at least one rival. The prediction specifies directional changes in cell clearance and mechanical outcomes, a condition eliminating the benefit of delay, and an explicit rejection condition. No rival prediction is supplied. Only a bench experiment would settle it.
What testing it would take
The engine's own read on whether this is testable with methods that already exist.
Первую проверку можно провести в реконструированной коже из клеток доноров 40–60 лет с добавленными макрофагами и управляемым притоком нейтрофилов. Контактные и бесконтактные совместные культуры позволяют отделить эффероцитоз от действия растворимых факторов. Избирательность воздействия на CD47 необходимо проверять отдельно от общей блокады этого белка. Обычный кожный эксплантат без восполнения иммунных клеток недостаточен для проверки предполагаемого события переключения.
Other explanations
Every other hypothesis the engine wrote for the same gap, and the observation that would separate the two.
Ранняя избирательная блокада CD47 на подтверждённо сенесцентных фибробластах ускорит поглощение погибших клеток, но снизит позднюю прочность и увеличит остаточную деформацию, хотя сами фибробласты сохранятся. Кратковременное воспроизведение контактного торможения эффероцитоза после немедленного удаления этих фибробластов восстановит позднюю механику. Продление такого торможения после прекращения притока нейтрофилов ухудшит результат. Преимущество отсрочки исчезнет при устранении контакта между сенесцентными клетками и макрофагами, несмотря на сохранение обмена растворимыми факторами. Улучшение поздней прочности после раннего снятия торможения при подтверждённом воздействии на мишень опровергнет гипотезу.
- Rival 01 of 02What would separate them
A self-supporting matrix may determine when senescent cell removal preserves skin strength predicts: Механическое состояние матрикса предскажет знак эффекта удаления клеток лучше, чем срок после повреждения или окончание нейтрофильной фазы. Избирательное укрепление межволоконных соединений при неизменных клеточных сигналах сдвинет допустимое удаление на более ранний срок; ослабление соединений сдвинет его на более поздний. Вблизи перехода возрастёт пространственная неоднородность деформации, а после перехода матрикс сохранит передачу нагрузки при временном подавлении актомиозинового сокращения. Гипотезу опровергнет сохранение прежнего окна удаления после подтверждённого сдвига механического перехода либо отсутствие связи этого перехода с поздней прочностью.
- What would separate them
Mistaken removal of repair cells may explain why delayed cell clearance protects skin predicts: Преимущество позднего удаления воспроизведётся при отборе только по p16, но исчезнет при удалении прослеженных фибробластов с подтверждённой устойчивой остановкой деления, несколькими независимыми признаками сенесценции и сохранением остальных репаративных клеток. Добавление ошибочно удалённой несенесцентной популяции восстановит позднюю прочность после раннего воздействия, даже если сенесцентные фибробласты уже отсутствуют. Сохранение преимущества отсрочки при двух независимых способах избирательного удаления истинно сенесцентных клеток опровергнет эту гипотезу.
Why this is not the mainstream account
The engine is asked to say what its hypothesis would overturn and what would surprise a specialist. This is its answer.
Schloesser и соавторы обнаружили, что сенесцентные клетки подавляют поглощение соседних апоптотических клеток макрофагами через CD47–QPCT/L; подавление требовало непосредственного контакта и не объяснялось одной лишь секрецией. Это экспериментальная опора для контактного механизма, но польза такого подавления при заживлении кожи в исследовании не установлена. [Первичное исследование](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9723804/).
Пересмотра потребовала бы модель разрешения воспаления в разделе «Воспаление и репарация» учебника Robbins & Cotran Pathologic Basis of Disease: эффективное раннее удаление погибших клеток пришлось бы рассматривать как процесс с потенциально вредным преждевременным запуском. Более узкое пересматриваемое положение состоит в том, что польза временной сенесценции для поздней механики определяется прежде всего выделением репаративных факторов.
Ускорение ранней очистки раны от погибших клеток ухудшит её позднюю прочность, а кратковременное контролируемое торможение очистки восстановит прочность после немедленного удаления сенесцентных фибробластов.
В выполненном целевом поиске не найден обзор, утверждающий, что контактное подавление эффероцитоза сенесцентными клетками необходимо для восстановления поздней прочности кожи. Общая роль эффероцитоза в репарации уже общепринята; радикальная часть данной гипотезы состоит именно в пользе его раннего торможения. Отсутствие аналогичного утверждения во всей литературе не доказано, поэтому проверка новизны остаётся предварительной.
What stands behind it
Which of the figures above have a study behind them, which are the engine's own, and what it would take to refute the hypothesis. This audit never judges the idea.
This hypothesis states no figure and cites no study, so there is nothing here to trace.
What it would take to refute it. Nothing already retrieved carries the prediction’s terms and it names no measurement this layer can route to a public dataset, so the bench is the residual — not a finding against it.
0 citation handles extracted; 1 Europe PMC search run; 0 records examined; 0 sources stored for enrichment, 0 with full text. A citation that did not resolve is a bibliographic failure, not proof that no such paper exists, and no hypothesis is blocked by this audit.