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COMPANIESCompanies rated · 435 (no change)PROJECTSProjects rated · 70 (no change)CATALOGUE874 grants in catalogue · 19 open right nowPOWERED BYOpen Longevity · 501(c)(3) · Sherman Oaks, CACOMPANIESCompanies rated · 435 (no change)PROJECTSProjects rated · 70 (no change)CATALOGUE874 grants in catalogue · 19 open right nowPOWERED BYOpen Longevity · 501(c)(3) · Sherman Oaks, CA
Longevity Prediction Market

In which year will a startup working on morphogenetic approaches to defeating aging reach a $300M+ valuation?

approved openMultiple choicePrognosis made 2 Jul 2026Voting closes 1 Nov 20260 traders0.00 cr volume

Chance it happens

71%
Happens 71%No 14%Other 14%

Belief the predicted event happens at all — every “yes / by-a-date” outcome added together. “Other” is tracked as its own third slice.

Outcomes

By end of 202714.3%
2028–202914.3%
2030–203114.3%
2032–203314.3%
2034–203514.3%
Not by end of 203514.3%
Other14.3%

Resolution criteria

Resolves on the year in which a company whose primary work is morphogenetic / bioelectric approaches to reversing or defeating aging first reaches a valuation of at least US$300 million (priced funding round or public listing). Resolution horizon: 2035-12-31. Source: funding announcement / PitchBook / Crunchbase.

Evidence & context

Trials, publications and reports our research found on this prognosis. Each links to the original source.

Morphoceuticals Inc.

This is a company funding announcement stating that Morphoceuticals closed an $8 million Seed-2 round on February 15, 2023. It is directly relevant because the prediction concerns whether a startup focused on morphogenetic/bioelectric regenerative approaches will eventually reach a $300M+ valuation, and this page establishes an early financing milestone for a plausible candidate company.

Morphoceuticals

This is a PR Newswire funding announcement that Morphoceuticals raised $8 million. It is relevant because Morphoceuticals appears to be a startup in the bioelectric/morphogenetic regeneration space, and early financing is evidence about the trajectory toward a future $300M+ valuation.

Morphoceuticals

This is the company’s own homepage describing Morphoceuticals as a TechBio company focused on the bioelectrome, regeneration, and manipulating bioelectric communication networks in multicellular systems. It is relevant because it is direct evidence that a startup exists in the morphogenetic/bioelectric intervention space that could potentially satisfy the forecast’s company-category requirement.

Morphoceuticals

This is a funding news article about Morphoceuticals, a startup pursuing bioelectric/electroceutical regenerative medicine approaches that appear adjacent to morphogenetic anti-aging work. It is relevant because it provides evidence that such a company exists and is attracting capital, which bears on the likelihood and timing of a future $300M+ valuation, even though the reported round itself is far below the resolution threshold.

Morphoceuticals

This is a 2025 interview/article about Michael Levin's bioelectric and morphogenetic research, directly relevant to the technical area named in the prediction. It also appears to mention Morphoceuticals as a company connected to translating this work, which bears on whether startups in this category could attract major financing and valuation.

Belief over time — chance it happens

0255075100Jul 2 · 71.4% chance71.4% chance
Jul 2Jul 2

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